Here is a follow up story in the Contra Costa Times discussing the sense of urgency surging through the legislature to save the NUMMI auto plant:
With as many as 20,000 jobs — as well as the health of a number of local economies across the state — on the line, Democratic lawmakers are saying the state needs to step in with tax relief to help the NUMMI auto plant in Fremont stay open.
The cost in revenues could be $20 million or more, but would be far cheaper than allowing the New United Motor Manufacturing Inc. plant to close, followed by the ripple effect of lost jobs throughout the state, lawmakers said at a Capitol news conference Thursday.
Wait, is the reporter suggesting that by providing some tax incentives there could actually be an increase in revenue?
“We can no longer afford to lose even a single job here,” said Assemblyman Alberto Torrico, D-Fremont, who introduced ABX4 31, which would establish a sales and use tax exemption for machinery and equipment. “Particularly those that pay well, provide health care benefits and whose workers, when they are working, pay income tax, buy things and we collect sales tax. Most troubling is when people lose jobs, they lose their homes.”
General Motors recently announced it is pulling out of its joint venture with Toyota as part of GM’s restructuring plan with the federal government. And last week, Toyota said it was considering closing down the plant, which employs 4,700 workers and makes Toyota Corollas, Toyota Tundras and Pontiac Vibes.
Another 15,000 jobs are indirectly tied to the plant — through suppliers, vendors and small parts manufacturers throughout the sate, representing $523 million in annual payroll and benefits, lawmakers said.
“The plant is a major force in California and countless thousands of jobs can be hurt if the plant does close,” said Sen. Ellen Corbett, D-Fremont. “It would not only impact the suppliers and vendors but the local economy — the grocery stores, the local health care providers.”
California is one of three states that charges sales taxes on the purchase of manufacturing equipment. With NUMMI as the last auto manufacturing plant in California — and only one in the West — lawmakers need to “look at the right way to regulate and tax them so they can thrive, and we can get that entrepreneurship and growth occurring in California,” said Assemblyman Ted Gaines, D-Roseville, who chairs a select committee on the auto industry. “We gotta stop the bleeding. NUMMI is the No. 1 priority.”
…
The legislation, under ABX 31 and SB 830, introduced by Sen. Rod Wright, D-Los Angeles, would give the governor authority to, as part of his negotiations with Toyota: eliminate the sales tax on manufacturing equipment, declare the plant an enterprise zone, give the plant a 70 percent reduction in the Public Goods Charge through the Public Utilities Commission for two years; and require that the state give priority to the plant in purchasing cars and trucks built by the plant.Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger does not typically comment on pending legislation, but a spokeswoman, Camille Anderson, said the governor is “actively engaged with Toyota, NUMMI partners and relevant stakeholders and looks forward to working with them to ensure the facility’s future.”
In the low revenue climate the state is in, lawmakers should offer to close some corporate tax loopholes to make the deal revenue neutral, said Lenny Goldberg, executive director for the California Tax Reform Association.
“And is there an agreement they can make that would be clear that they’re not just throwing money at a problem,” Goldberg asked.
Legislators called the situation urgent, saying they’d like to approve the tax exemptions by the end of the summer session in August.
So Goldberg is suggesting that since we need to lower taxes in this case in order to make it viable for Toyota to continue to do business in California, we should therefore raise taxes on a bunch of other businesses.


The real impact on State revenues would be substantial should Toyota pull out of California. I am not an economist but let me take a crack at how the loss of NUMMI could impact the State coffers. Let’s say that the impact on lost jobs to the State is really 20,000 positions due to parts suppliers losing contacts and so forth, and that the average union salary for these jobs is $50,000/year. That would be a direct salary hit of $1.0 billion dollars and when we multiply that by a spending multiplier of 7.0, that would be $7.0 billion dollars of lost wages. We have to add the spending multiplier to account for the lost income from all of the goods and services that these employees would have purchased from local small businesses, as well as the goods and services that the local small business owners and their employees would purchase, and so on. So if we take the $7.0 billion in total salaries, and multiply that by a tax rate of 9.3% for California, we come out with an addition to the State deficit of $651 million in lost California State income tax. If I was smart enough (or had the time), I could probably calculate the loss on fuel tax collections, sales tax collections, and property tax proceeds which in all, could easily increase my $651 million dollar number to over $1.0 billion in decreased state/county/city revenue. So if we go back and see what the impact for each job lost is at an automobile plant in Fremont with 5,000 employees, the impact to government revenue is approximately $200,000 for every job lost, that’s taking $1.0 billion in lost revenue, divided by the 5,000 employees at the NUMMI plant.
Although these numbers are very rough, they do give an indication of how important every job in California is and that the State legislature needs to work with business to become a business friendly state again. If we don’t change, we don’t have a chance.